Method
The $20 rule
A rule of thumb for AI tool spending that we use ourselves: one $20 subscription is the baseline, a second needs a job, and a third needs a reason that survives being written down.
The short answer. One $20 subscription covers most people's AI needs, a second earns its place only when it does a job the first one cannot, and anything beyond that needs a reason you can write in one sentence. The rule is the filter that stops the stack from turning into a subscription you never use.
The rule, stated plainly
AI tool spending has a failure mode, and it is not overspending — it is over-collecting. The tools are cheap enough that adding a subscription feels free, and each one is genuinely good at something, so the collection grows until the monthly total is a real number and the usage is spread so thin that no tool is doing a job well. The rule is a guard against that: one baseline, one job-specific addition, and after that the burden of proof moves to you.
The first subscription
Pick one general assistant — ChatGPT Plus or Claude Pro — and pay for it. This is the baseline, and for most people it is also most of the answer: drafting, questions, code snippets, summaries, image understanding, the daily mix. Which of the two matters less than people spend time agonising over; both are strong, and the difference only becomes visible once you have real usage patterns to compare. Pick the one whose free tier you already drifted toward and move on.
The second needs a job
The second subscription has to do something the first one demonstrably cannot, and "it also does X" is not a job — the first tool also does X. A real second-tool case sounds like: "I spend two hours a week doing research and the answer engine's citations save most of it," or "repository-scale refactors are a weekly thing and the dedicated agent turns an afternoon into a coffee break." Those are jobs. If you cannot name the job in a sentence, the second subscription is a hobby, not a tool.
The third needs a written reason
Past two, the honest test is whether the reason survives being written down. Most do not: the third tool is usually the one that was impressive in a demo and has not been opened in three weeks. The free tiers are where this shows up most clearly, because the most underused tool in most people's stack is the free tier of something they already have — Perplexity's free level is a complete research instrument, and a surprising share of people paying for a second assistant have never run a week of real research through it.
Where the rule does not apply
Two honest exceptions. If you are building a product, the spending is not a subscription — it is a cost of goods, and the arithmetic is margin, not habit; start at the open-weights price floor and move up only where the quality gap costs you more than the tokens. And if the model has to live inside your own network, the tool choice is made by your compliance requirement, not by this rule — the operational weight is the price, and it is worth paying when the contract says so. Outside those two cases, the rule holds: one baseline, one job, and a strong preference for using what you already have.
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